Contest Strategies 4d4k25
by Ed Meyer 2q161j
inI like playing in handicapping contests. The action, the players who love the game like you do, and the chance to chase the pot of gold.
Today, I found myself in that old comfortable seat. The card looked chalky, and man was I right!
The object of the game (according to every player worth their salt) is to play nothing less than 5-1. If you find something bigger, go for it.
The 5-1 rule is handy. If the chalk wins, many players will have it. Play two 9-5 winners, and the third wins at 6-1, and I am ahead of you in the contest. I know, you picked two winners. But it is not about picking winners. It is about accumulating a balance. Anyone can pick a few chalky dust winners, but few can follow the golden rule.
I find myself after two or three no-hits attempting to go back to the chalkboard and get a winner under my belt. I think this is more for my psyche than my score. I just want to know that I can still find a winner. But, the overall rule applies.
I finally strike gold and have a 33-1 winner who dead-heats. This is still a HUGE play. Now, I am suddenly back in the game. Two races ago, I was wondering where I parked and the long drive home. Now, I am looking for that 10-1 to get me home.
With one race to go, I am still alive. This is old familiar land. I have been here a thousand times before. I can see me wearing the crown. I can see the crowd cheering. I can see my name on the check as I set off for Las Vegas to do battle. But not just yet…..
The race is set, and I have made my selection. I have a crisp 11-1 shot, and I feel good. I am doing the math in my head, and things must fall just right. By the time I get back to my seat, I see that I am 9 for your one. OK, I am still good to go…. I wrap up my papers, and look up and see 8-1… Now, I begin to wonder if I should have gone longer. You know, the 5-1 rule…
The gates break, and I am 8-1. They come rolling for home, and I’m laying fourth on the rail… All I need is a little help. The wire arrives and my charge finishes fourth… No good. Dreams smashed, and the long drive home comes into focus.
I finish 19th out of 200, but the rule still applies. Stick to your guns. Make the 5-1 rule apply. It is not a contest to select winners, but one where you accumulate a bankroll. I do regret my picks. I wish I would have had a little more luck, but not on this day. The mantra of all horse players: ” I will be back again.” That holds true, and I will be back. I love the game, and hopefully it will love me back. Just keep my seat handy, my handicapping information ready, and lady luck on my side. I’ll be back…